830

FXXT12 EGRR 071558



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 07.09.2025



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 :  9.5S  71.7E



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 09.09.2025   36   9.5S  71.7E     1007            34

    1200UTC 09.09.2025   48  10.5S  70.3E     1006            29

    0000UTC 10.09.2025   60  11.1S  69.0E     1006            31

    1200UTC 10.09.2025   72  10.8S  68.2E     1006            30

    0000UTC 11.09.2025   84  10.6S  67.9E     1006            31

    1200UTC 11.09.2025   96  10.0S  67.5E     1006            31

    0000UTC 12.09.2025  108  10.0S  67.0E     1006            32

    1200UTC 12.09.2025  120   9.7S  66.4E     1005            34

    0000UTC 13.09.2025  132   9.4S  66.5E     1006            33

    1200UTC 13.09.2025  144   9.1S  66.3E     1005            33

    0000UTC 14.09.2025  156   8.7S  65.8E     1006            30

    1200UTC 14.09.2025  168   8.3S  64.9E     1006            30



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 14.8S  48.1E



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 14.09.2025  168  14.8S  48.1E     1010            27





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 071558