558

FXXT13 EGRR 141621



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-WEST PACIFIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 14.08.2026



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W        ANALYSED POSITION : 22.6N 143.6E



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 14.08.2026    0  22.6N 143.6E     1003            21

    0000UTC 15.08.2026   12              CEASED TRACKING



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANGKA     ANALYSED POSITION : 28.1N 154.7E



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 14.08.2026    0  28.1N 154.7E      999            26

    0000UTC 15.08.2026   12  28.3N 156.5E     1001            25

    1200UTC 15.08.2026   24  28.3N 158.5E     1003            25

    0000UTC 16.08.2026   36  28.2N 161.4E     1005            22

    1200UTC 16.08.2026   48  27.3N 162.7E     1007            24

    0000UTC 17.08.2026   60              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 29.4N 171.0E



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 16.08.2026   36  29.4N 171.0E     1005            26

    1200UTC 16.08.2026   48  29.4N 172.1E     1007            23

    0000UTC 17.08.2026   60  28.8N 172.4E     1009            23

    1200UTC 17.08.2026   72              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 13.7N 142.2E



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 21.08.2026  156  13.7N 142.2E     1002            29

    1200UTC 21.08.2026  168  14.8N 140.1E     1001            27





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 141621